2004 Presidential Election Bloc Vote

80-20 began to submit formal questionnaires to all presidential candidates of both parties. A Yes or No answer was required. The candidate must sign the reply. Such commitments are generally known in the political world as iron-clad promises. Sen. Kerry replied with all yeses. Pres. Bush’s campaign inquired if 80-20 would accept a reply in composition style. 80-20’s answer was that it would not given much weight to such a reply. Bush didn’t send a reply. 80-20 endorsed Kerry, and delivered 68/41 according to NY Times, and 64/34 according to LA Times.

1. APA Specific Polls for APA Voting Patterns

Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund (AALDEF)

Candidate Asian
George Bush (R) 24%
John Kerry (D) 74%
Other 2%

11,000 Asian American voters responded to written questionnaires translated into 9 Asian languages at 82 poll sites in 20 cities in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Virginia, Michigan, and Illinois.

Asian Pacific American Legal Center (APALC)

Candidate Asian African Amer. Latino/a White
George Bush (R) 41% 14% 23% 46%
John Kerry (D) 57% 85% 76% 53%
Other 2% 1% 1% 1%

4,030 citizens in Southern California responded to the APALC survey. By surveying large numbers of Asian American voters in six languages other than English, the APALC’s Southern California Voter Survey is the largest and most comprehensive exit poll of Asian American voters in California.

Council of Philippine American Organizations of San Diego, Inc.

Candidate Asian African Amer. Latino/a
George Bush (R) 49.2% 18% 22.7%
John Kerry (D) 33.6% 60% 67.2%
Other 11.5% 10% 5.5%

Korean American Exit Polls

National Korean American Service and Education (NAKASEC) and its affiliates Korean Resource Center ( Los Angeles ), Korean American Resource and Cultural Center ( Chicago ), and YKASEC- Empowering the Korean American Community ( New York )

Candidate Flushing, NY Chicago, IL Los Angeles, CA
George Bush (R) 29% 47% 40%
John Kerry (D) 60% 52% 58%

2. Mainstream Media Exit Poll Results

Los Angeles Times

Candidate Asian African Amer. Latino/a White
George Bush (R) 34% 14% 45% 57%
John Kerry (D) 64% 86% 54% 42$
Other * 0% 2% 0%

To read the rest of the article, please go HERE (registration required).

The Los Angeles Times Poll interviewed 5,154 voters who cast ballots in the general election Tuesday as they exited 136 polling places across the nation, including 3,357 California voters as they exited 50 polling places across the state. Precincts were chosen based on the pattern of turnout in past primary elections. The survey was a self-administered, confidential questionnaire, in English and in Spanish. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points for all voters, including California voters. For some subgroups, the error margin may be somewhat higher. Fieldwork provided by Schlesinger Associates of Edison, N.J. and Davis Research of Calabasas.

New York Times

1992
1996
2000
2004
**
D
R
O
D
R
O
D*
R
O
D*
R
O
White
39
40
20
43
46
9
42
54
3
41
58
0
R+5
Black
83
10
7
84
12
4
90
8
1
88
11
0
R+5
Latino
61
25
14
72
21
6
67
31
2
56
43
2
R+23
Asian
31
55
15
43
48
8
54
41
4
68
31
0
R-4
Led by
Repub.+24
Rep+5
Dem+13
Dem+37

* Presidential Candidate endorsed by 80-20
** The last column shows that all other races supported Pres. Bush more strongly in 2004 than in 2000, except Asian Americans, who responded to 80-20’s endorsement and supported Pres. Bush by 4 points less than in 2000.

Washington Post (CNN uses the same poll service)

Candidate Asian African Amer. Latino/a White
George Bush (R) 39% 10% 41% 55%
John Kerry (D) 61% 90% 56% 44%
Other * 0% 3% 0%

To read the rest of the article, please go HERE (registration required)

Results presented here are from an exit poll based on interviews with 13,047 randomly selected voters as they exited polling places around the nation yesterday and telephone interviews conducted prior to the election in 13 states. Sampling error for the overall results is plus or minus one percentage point; it is somewhat larger for subsamples. Final percentages may shift slightly. The exit poll was conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other news organizations. The NEP is an association of ABC News, CNN, CBS News, Fox News and the Associated Press.

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